Delgado leads Faso in Monmouth poll

Democratic challenger Antonio Delgado led Republican Rep. John Faso by as much as six percentage points in a Monmouth University poll that offered two ways to read the results based on voter turnout in November in the race for New York’s 19th Congressional District.

Delgado, an attorney who lives in Rhinebeck, led the freshman congressman from Kinderhook by 45 percent to 43 percent, with nine percent undecided, among all 410 potential voters the New Jersey university called from Sept. 6-10. Using two models for how many voters might actually turn out on Nov. 6, Monmouth said that Delgado would lead by 48 percent to 45 percent if it’s a typical midterm election and by 49 percent to 43 percent if there’s a Democratic surge.

Both leads were within or nearly within the margins of error, which was 4.9 percentage points for the full sample and and 5.4 points for the two turnout models.

Steven Greenfield, a Green Party candidate for the 19th District, had 1 percent support in the poll, and unspecified independent candidates took another 1 percent of the vote. Two independents whose petitions were invalidated by the state Board of Elections – Diane Neal and Dal LaMagna – have filed court cases to try to reverse those rulings.

A poll by Siena College in August had Faso ahead of Delgado by 45 percent to 40 percent, a lead that also fell roughly within the margin of error. That poll didn’t ask about Greenfield or any independent candidates.

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