Farley campaign: NY-18 is still a swing district

A spokesman for Chele Chiavacci Farley’s congressional campaign argued this week that New York’s 18th district is still “reliably purple” in spite of its growing Democratic enrollment edge and that it will go more heavily for President Trump than before if Bernie Sanders is his opponent this fall.

“President Trump won the district in 2016 and is likely to do so again,” campaign spokesman Michael Lawler said by email. “If the Democratic frontrunner, Bernie Sanders, is at the top of the ticket, Trump will win NY-18 by a larger margin.”

He also suggested Rep. Sean Patrick Maloney had proven more partisan than centrist by supporting the Green New Deal and being “a leader” in Trump’s impeachment. As a member of the House Intelligence Committee, Maloney took part in the questioning of witnesses in televised hearings.

Lawler was responding to reporting by the Times Herald-Record on a continuing shift in voter enrollment in Democrats’ favor in the Hudson Valley. State Board of Elections counts show Democrats have gained 25,000 more voters than Republicans added in the 18th District since congressional lines were drawn in 2012, giving Democrats a huge advantage of 30,000 voters over Republicans.

Rep. Sean Patrick Maloney, a Cold Spring Democrat, has represented the four-county district since 2013 and is seeking a fifth term this fall, challenged by Farley, a Republican. Scott Smith, a science teacher from Goshen, also plans to wage his second run as an independent candidate for the seat.

Trump beat Hillary Clinton by two percentage points in the 18th District in 2016. Maloney won re-election that year by 10 points.

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