I followed up a 3-1 wild-card week with a 1-3 divisional playoffs, lowlighted by missing the Falcons-Seahawks cover by a half-point. It stinks to be lousy AND luckless.
The conference championship games should be a couple barnburners. The quick consensus appears to be San Fran (minus-4.5) and Baltimore (plus-9) covering, but I’m going to hold off on making any proclamations for a few days.
One thing I will say, I was extremely surprised with the way Joe Flacco played. He threw one beautiful pass after another. I thought Denver would apply more pressure. They simply allowed Flacco too much time and space in the secondary. My gosh, has Champ Bailey ever played worse in a big game?
But there’s a reason the Flacco skeptics exist. He has a history of following up a game like this one, when he looked every bit like a top-10 quarterback in the league, to a clunker.
All that said, Flacco has been on a nice little run since November. He has thrown 18 touchdown passes and just four interceptions in his past 11 games, including a brief outing in the regular-season finale against Cincinnati. Flacco has five touchdowns and no interceptions in the two playoff games.
My early gut feeling is that Baltimore will easily cover the spread and quite possibly win.
Last week: 1-3
Playoffs overall: 4-4
Season record: 118-142-4