Previewing the Minisink Valley-New Paltz swim meet

The 2013-14 boys’ swimming and diving regular season wraps up in a big way on Wednesday when undefeated New Paltz heads to undefeated Minisink Valley. The winner claims the OCIAA Division II title and should also get a big boost of confidence heading into the championship meet portion of the season.

As I did last week with the championship meets, I decided to take a stab at trying to predict how the Minisink-New Paltz meet might unfold.

Again, this is a highly unscientific process. I can’t predict how the coaches will set their lineups, so that has a huge impact on the scoring. Also, I’m going by the swimmers’ best times as listed on, which has two underlying problems. One, kids could have the meet of their lives tomorrow, swim great times and jumble up the scoring as I present it here. Two, Minisink Valley has had many more meets this season, so they’ve had more kids in more events, giving them a better chance of posting lower times across the board. So that might slide things a bit in Minisink’s favor in this model.

That said, here’s my predicted table for tomorrow’s big meet.

It should come down right to the end, as I’ve got Minisink Valley holding an 85-84 lead after 11 events. But Minisink Valley’s 400 freestyle relay team has been one of the Warriors’ strong points over the past few seasons and that’s enough to give them a 95-88 win in the end.

Of course, anything can happen tomorrow, so it should be a fun event. What’s your prediction? Let me know and check out my Twitter page for live updates from the meet tomorrow: @THR_Montgomery.

And for a video of the Minisink Valley boys talking about their season so far, check out the player below.

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